Forecasting Lifespan Divergence
Spain had the earliest projected divergence year, 2102. The article states that an unbounded statistical maximum lifespan could be reached by 2102 if the observed trend continued. The study used linear projections of the shape parameter to…
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Spain had the earliest projected divergence year, 2102. The article states that an unbounded statistical maximum lifespan could be reached by 2102 if the observed trend continued. The study used linear projections of the shape parameter to estimate when it would reach or exceed zero. The divergence dates are not deterministic forecasts because they depend on continuation of historical trends.