Lifespan Prediction Models

RandomForest had the highest AUC among the reported classifiers. Genealogy-derived features contributed to prediction, but explanatory and predictive power remained low. Machine-learning models performed better than random by AUC, but thei…

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RandomForest had the highest AUC among the reported classifiers. Genealogy-derived features contributed to prediction, but explanatory and predictive power remained low. Machine-learning models performed better than random by AUC, but their absolute discrimination was limited. The study built machine-learning classifiers to predict whether U.S.-born individuals who survived past 50 would survive past 80.